Riyadh oil refinery operated by Aramco on the outskirts of the Saudi capital
Kharbaan Ghaltaan, Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Exploration & Production·Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Aramco Q3 Adjusted Profit Reaches $31.2 Billion as Downstream EBIT Jumps 234%

Aramco beat the $28.7B consensus with $31.2B adjusted profit as refining EBIT jumped 234%, and the $21.9B dividend still takes 78% of free cash flow.

Aramco reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted net income of $31.2 billion on Tuesday, up from $28.6 billion a year earlier. Bloomberg's consensus, as cited by OilPrice.com, stood at $28.7 billion. The result beat that estimate by $2.5 billion, or 8.7%.

Free cash flow reached $28.2 billion, against $23.6 billion in the third quarter of 2025. Cash flow from operating activities was $38.7 billion, up from $36.1 billion. Gearing fell to 5.5% at September 30 from 6.2% at June 30, according to Aramco's results announcement.

Refining carried the quarter

Downstream adjusted EBIT rose 234.0% year on year, which Aramco attributed to stronger refining margins. OilPrice.com puts the figure at $10.3 billion, up from $3.1 billion. That is a $7.2 billion gain from one segment.

Adjusted net income rose only $2.6 billion over the same period. EBIT and net income are different measures, so the comparison is indicative only. It does suggest the rest of the portfolio contributed less than a year ago.

CEO Amin Nasser said "geopolitical uncertainty and attacks on key energy facilities continued to amplify the global energy supply crisis." OilPrice.com linked the quarter to Houthi attacks on Aramco's East-West pipeline and other infrastructure. Oil Authority covered one such incident in our report on the Shaybah drone strike and the 7 million barrel per day East-West pipeline.

Dividend cover in plain numbers

The board declared a base dividend of $21.9 billion for the quarter, up 3.5% on the year and payable in the fourth quarter. Against $28.2 billion of free cash flow, that is a payout of 77.7%. It leaves $6.3 billion of free cash flow after the dividend.

Spread across the 92 days of the quarter, the dividend works out to about $238 million per day. Free cash flow ran at roughly $307 million per day. The gap between those two figures is the cushion Aramco holds while gearing sits at 5.5%.

Archive comparison: refining profits across majors

Aramco's downstream surge matches the pattern we reported from other integrated companies this season. Our analysis of Chevron and ExxonMobil third-quarter refining profit per barrel showed refiners capturing wide margins while crude stayed elevated. Our coverage of Eni's adjusted profit and buyback pointed the same way.

The difference at Aramco is scale and cause. Its refining gain came with reduced refinery output and exports, per OilPrice.com, so margin rather than volume drove the result. State-owned Saudi Aramco therefore earned more per barrel processed while moving fewer barrels.

Market context

Brent traded at $105.26 per barrel and WTI at $97.07 per barrel in OilPrice.com's market report published late Monday, citing Reuters. Crude had dropped about 7% the previous day on hopes for a diplomatic solution with Iran. A Wall Street Journal report of limited US strikes on Iran then revived the risk premium.

Analysts quoted by Reuters disagree on how long that lasts. KCM Trade's Tim Waterer said the report restored a risk premium. Phillip Nova's Priyanka Sachdeva said headlines alone may not sustain a rally without evidence of further physical disruption.

Sources and methodology

Oil Authority synthesis: we calculated the consensus beat, dividend payout ratio, per-day dividend and free cash flow, and the cross-company refining comparison from our archive. The downstream dollar figures and consensus come from OilPrice.com, not the Aramco release.

Published by Oil Authority, edited by Adam Humphreys

Submit a Correction

Spotted a factual error? Free account required to submit a correction.